Dear Reader,

 

Today's overview of economic news and market action

  • Monetary policy is front and centre of market’s focus at the moment
  • Last week saw the ECB cut rates as expected, but was coy on rates outlook
  • This week, Fed (Wed), BoE (Thur) and BoJ(Fri) all meeting
  • Spotlight is on the Fed, with no changes expected from the other two
  • Therefore, event risk for the dollar from the meeting amid speculation on size of rate cut
  • EUR/USD starts this week at $1.11, while EUR/GBP remains in lower half of 84-85p
 
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Today's Opening FX Rates
 
      % Change Day* End 2023
EUR/USD 1.1103   0.19 0.61
EUR/GBP 0.8436   0.07 -2.68
GBP/USD 1.3158   0.08 3.37
GBP/EUR 1.185   -0.07 2.75
*versus Previous Day's European Open

All rates quoted are indicative market rates.

 
ECB Watch - September 2024
 

ECB cuts as expected, but vague guidance on rate outlook


The ECB cut interest rates for a second time this year at the September policy setting meeting of its Governing Council. The Deposit rate was lowered to 3.50%. Meanwhile, the refi rate was cut to 3.65%, which entailed a previously announced technical adjustment of a reduction in the spread between the Depo and Refi rates from 50bps to 15bps. 

 
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