Dear Reader,
Today's overview of economic news and market action
- Last week, the ECB cut rates by 25bps as expected …
- Meantime, US payrolls and earnings data printed above the consensus …
- The strong US labour market data supported the dollar into the weekend …
- This week, the Euro has started under some downward pressure …
- In level terms, EUR/USD is down at the midpoint of $1.07-1.08 …
- EUR/GBP is back at the halfway mark of 84-85p …
- GBP/US is in the lower half of $1.27-1.28 …
- This week, the monetary policy focus will be on the US Fed …
- Data-wise, US CPI (May) and UK Labour market & GDP (both April) are due …
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Today's Opening FX Rates
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% Change Day* |
End 2023 |
| EUR/USD |
1.0753 |
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-1.29 |
-2.56 |
| EUR/GBP |
0.8453 |
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-0.76 |
-2.48 |
| GBP/USD |
1.2716 |
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-0.57 |
-0.10 |
| GBP/EUR |
1.1824 |
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0.77 |
2.54 |
| *versus Previous Day's European Open |
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Weekly Market Brief - 10-14 June - And We're Off!
- In the last week, we have seen further signs that central banks are starting to alter their monetary policy settings, with rate cuts being announced.
- The ECB cut interest rates despite revising higher its inflation forecasts.
- This week, the monetary policy spotlight will shift to the US Fed.
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ECB Watch - May 2024
The ECB’s Governing Council meeting for June saw the central bank cut its key interest rates by 25bps. The Deposit rate was lowered to 3.75% (from 4.00%), while the refi rate was reduced to 4.25% (from 4.50%). The June rate changes follow five consecutive policy meetings where the ECB kept rates on hold, having been in a rate hiking cycle between July’22 to September’23.
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AIB Ireland Services PMI: May 2024
The latest AIB PMI® survey data indicated a faster increase in Irish service sector activity in May, as new business growth strengthened. The 12-month outlook also improved, and this was reflected another robust rise in services employment. There was a notable rebound in the Technology, Media & Telecoms sector, while Financial Services continued to expand sharply.
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AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI: May 2024
AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI® data signalled a broad stabilisation in operating conditions in May as the headline index from the survey ticked up to a three-month high. Softer and only marginal contractions in output volumes and incoming new work were recorded during the latest survey period.
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