Dear Reader,

 

Today's overview of economic news and market action

  • Quiet start to the week on markets continued yesterday …
  • The yen remained under some downward pressure …
  • Elsewhere, the action on currency markets remained limited …
  • EUR/USD is in the top half of $1.08-1.09 …
  • GBP/USD is in the lower half of $1.27-1.28 …
  • EUR/GBP remains near the midpoint of 85-86p …
  • Meantime, USD/JPY is up above ¥151 …
  • Today, the main focus is on the Fed meeting outcome …
  • No changes t policy expected, but updated macro-projections will garner attention …
 
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Today's Opening FX Rates
 
    % Change
      Day* End 2022
EUR/USD 1.0869   0.06 -1.51
EUR/GBP 0.854   -0.08 -1.48
GBP/USD 1.2723   0.13 -0.05
GBP/EUR 1.1701   0.08 1.50
*versus Previous Day's European Open
 
 
Weekly Market Brief: 18 -22 March
 

Inflation Data Dampen Rate Cut Expectations


This week is set to be an important period for markets as three key central banks (Fed, BoJ, BoE) announce monetary policy decisions.

 
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Forex and Interest Rate Outlook - March
 

World economy grew at a very modest pace in 2023. Subdued growth expected again in 2024, with continuing weak performance by Eurozone in particular. 


Inflation fell sharply last year and further moderation in price pressures anticipated in 2024.

 
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Weekly Market View - 12 March
 

Summer interest cut signalled by European Central Bank

 

After around two years of aggressive interest rate hikes from the main central banks, monetary policy makers are still on hold and currently deploying a “data-dependent” approach in setting monetary policy. Overall, central banks are waiting for further signs that underlying inflation is on a sustained downward trajectory to give them confidence that it will fall back towards 2% before they will 
contemplate cutting rates. 

 
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ECB Watch - March 2024
 

The March meeting of the ECB’s Governing Council saw the central bank maintain its key deposit rate at 4%. This outcome was in line with expectations.

 
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