Dear Reader,

 

Today's overview of economic news and market action:

 

    • Some volatility amongst the FX majors last week 
    • Dovish Fed comments weighed on the dollar early in the week
    • However, euro came under pressure mid-week amid lower inflation numbers 
    • EUR/USD ended the week below $1.09 
    • EUR/GBP was unable to hold above 86p
    • Ahead this week, main data release is US payrolls for November
 
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Today's Opening FX Rates
 
    % Change
      Day* End 2022
EUR/USD 1.0864   -0.41 1.51
EUR/GBP 0.8573   -0.63 -3.06
GBP/USD 1.2673   0.25 4.76
GBP/EUR 1.1661   0.63 3.16
*versus Previous Day's European Open
 
Weekly Market Brief: 4 - 8 December
 

Labouring the Point

 

National Accounts data show that GDP is in decline, but this largely relates to a fall in contract manufacturing activity abroad by Irish based companies 

 
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FED Watch - November 2023
 

Fed holds rates steady at 22-year high for second meeting

 

The Fed has enacted 525bps worth of rate increases since it commenced tightening policy in March 2022. The last rate rise came in July, with a 25bps hike.

 
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AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMIĀ® - November 2023
 

Latest survey data from the AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI® highlighted a stabilisation in overall business conditions, following modest downturns in September and October.

 
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BoE Watch - November
 

BoE holds rates at 5.25% for a second straight meeting


This decision was very much in line with market expectations. It marks the second meeting in-a-row where the BoE has remained on hold. Its previous meeting in September represented its first pause after hiking for fourteen consecutive meetings, dating back to December 2021. 

 
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