Dear Reader,

 

Today's overview of economic news and market action

  • There was a more positive tone to investor sentiment yesterday …
  • US CPI inflation for August printed in-line with the consensus …
  • However, US futures contracts firmed in the aftermath of the release …
  • Currency-wise, the dollar was in the ascendancy while sterling weakened slightly …
  • This sees GBP/USD open this morning back at the midpoint of $1.30-1.31 …
  • EUR/USD is in the bottom half of $1.10-1.11 …
  • EUR/GBP is in the lower half of 84-85p …
  • Today, the ECB is expected to cut the deposit rate by 25bps …
  • The post-meeting press conference and the updated forecasts will garner attention …
 
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Today's Opening FX Rates
 
      % Change Day* End 2023
EUR/USD 1.1017   -0.26 -0.17
EUR/GBP 0.8438   0.08 -2.65
GBP/USD 1.3056   -0.34 2.57
GBP/EUR 1.1849   -0.08 2.73
*versus Previous Day's European Open

All rates quoted are indicative market rates.

 
Weekly Market Brief - 9-13 September
 

Moderate growth beneath volatile Irish GDP data

 

This week’s Irish GDP data provide the first full breakdown of the economy in Q2 2024. Beneath the perennially volatile GDP data (-1% q/q, -4% y/y), the domestic indicators point to a moderate growth picture so far in 2024.

 
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AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMIĀ® - August 2024
 

The headline AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI® edged up to its highest level since February and signalled a marginal overall improvement in business conditions. An upturn in manufacturing sector performance mostly reflected sustained production growth and a faster rise in employment numbers. Survey respondents often commented on efforts to boost capacity in line with long-term business expansion plans.

 
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AIB Ireland Services PMIĀ® - August 2024
 

Irish services activity continued to rise solidly in August, AIB PMI® survey data indicated. Growth of both new business and employment accelerated, and outstanding work increased at the strongest rate in nearly a year. Less positively, the overall 12-month outlook was the weakest since November 2022.

 
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Irish Economy Watch - August 2024
 

House prices continue to trend sharply higher. They were up 8.6% YoY in June. Consumer prices rose by 0.2% in July, amid further increases in transport and hospitality costs. Revisions to the data show the unemployment rate averaged 4.4% in Q2’24 up from 4.3% in Q1’24. The preliminary reading indicates GDP expanded by 1.2% in Q2’24, but it remained 1.4% lower in YoY terms. 

 
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