Dear Reader,
Today's overview of economic news and market action
- Key focus for markets last week was US labour market data for August
- However, the data had no significant impact on market rate cut pricing for Fed
- Currency-wise, main pairs confined to fairly narrow ranges last week
- EUR/USD opens this morning below $1.11
- EUR/GBP continues in the lower end of 84-85p
- Busy macro diary ahead this week
- Includes ECB meeting, US CPI inflation, UK labour market and GDP data
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Today's Opening FX Rates
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% Change Day* |
End 2023 |
| EUR/USD |
1.1067 |
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-0.43 |
0.28 |
| EUR/GBP |
0.8439 |
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0.06 |
-2.64 |
| GBP/USD |
1.3113 |
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-0.49 |
3.02 |
| GBP/EUR |
1.1848 |
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-0.06 |
2.71 |
| *versus Previous Day's European Open |
All rates quoted are indicative market rates.
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Weekly Market Brief - 9-13 September
Moderate growth beneath volatile Irish GDP data
This week’s Irish GDP data provide the first full breakdown of the economy in Q2 2024. Beneath the perennially volatile GDP data (-1% q/q, -4% y/y), the domestic indicators point to a moderate growth picture so far in 2024.
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AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMIĀ® - August 2024
The headline AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI® edged up to its highest level since February and signalled a marginal overall improvement in business conditions. An upturn in manufacturing sector performance mostly reflected sustained production growth and a faster rise in employment numbers. Survey respondents often commented on efforts to boost capacity in line with long-term business expansion plans.
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AIB Ireland Services PMIĀ® - August 2024
Irish services activity continued to rise solidly in August, AIB PMI® survey data indicated. Growth of both new business and employment accelerated, and outstanding work increased at the strongest rate in nearly a year. Less positively, the overall 12-month outlook was the weakest since November 2022.
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Irish Economy Watch - August 2024
House prices continue to trend sharply higher. They were up 8.6% YoY in June. Consumer prices rose by 0.2% in July, amid further increases in transport and hospitality costs. Revisions to the data show the unemployment rate averaged 4.4% in Q2’24 up from 4.3% in Q1’24. The preliminary reading indicates GDP expanded by 1.2% in Q2’24, but it remained 1.4% lower in YoY terms.
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