Dear Reader,

 

Today's overview of economic news and market action:

 

  • Volatile conditions on bond markets have also impacted FX
  • Dollar has tended to benefit from rising US yields
  • And weakened when yields have fallen back 
  • EUR/USD opens this morning at $1.06 
  • EUR/GBP has held onto 87p level
  • Busy macro diary this week
  • Features Fed and BoE meetings
  • Data-wise, includes US payrolls and EZ inflation
 
Continue Reading
 
Today's Opening FX Rates
 
    % Change
      Day* End 2022
EUR/USD 1.0606   0.43 -0.90
EUR/GBP 0.873   0.15 -1.29
GBP/USD 1.2145   0.27 0.40
GBP/EUR 1.1448   -0.15 1.31
*versus Previous Day's European Open
 
ECB Watch - October 2023
 
 

Markets expect rate cuts in 2024 as recession risks rise

The October meeting of the ECB’s Governing Council saw the Central Bank maintain its key deposit rate at 4%, which was very much in line with expectations.

 
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Budget 2024
 

 Strong Public Finances

Today’s budget contained a fresh package of cost of living support measures totalling €2.7bn that will be rolled out over the winter months. These are mainly taking the form of direct household payments and energy credits. The Government is also providing an additional €6.4bn in other spending increases and tax cuts for next year. 

 
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Irish Economy Watch - October 2023
 

PMI declined to 49.6 in Sep, indicating business conditions deteriorated slightly. New orders fell, including export orders. Output contracted for a seventh month running.

 
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Weekly Market Brief: 23-27 October
 

Back in the Pack

 

Fears that the UK could have entered recession by now have not come to pass, with the economy displaying unexpected resilience over the past year.

 
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