Dear Reader,

Today's overview of economic news and market action: 

• Despite a quiet macro calendar, there was a cautious tone to investor sentiment yesterday …
• The dollar began the week under some downward pressure, albeit the greenback has bounced off its lows …
• At the same time, a “ reset” in post-Brexit relations between the EU and UK had a limited market impact ...
• The softer tone to the dollar sees EUR/USD open this morning just above the midpoint of $1.12-1.13 …
• Meanwhile, GBP/USD is up in the top half of the $1.33-1.34 range …
• EUR/GBP remains in the lower half of the 84-85p corridor …
• Elsewhere, USD/JPY is back below the ¥145 threshold …
• Turning to the day ahead, the data schedule is limited once again …

All rates quoted are indicative market rates.

The AIB Ireland Services PMI® survey data for April indicated a loss of growth momentum in the services economy as concerns over the economic impact of international trade tensions grew. Total activity and new business increased at the slowest rates in 15 and 18 months, respectively. Moreover, the 12-month outlook was the weakest since October 2020, linked to uncertainty over the fallout from US tariff policies and financial market volatility. That said, companies continued to expand their work forces at a robust rate and outstanding business increased further, while inflationary pressures softened.

April data highlighted a robust upturn in Irish manufacturing production, supported by a further acceleration in new order growth to its strongest for three years. Domestic demand was the main factor boosting manufacturing workloads as export sales dipped slightly since March. Survey respondents commented on head winds from US tariffs and rising global economic uncertainty, but there were also reports of improving demand from European clients. Squeezed margins remained a challenge for goods producers, with input cost inflation hitting a 26-month high in the latest survey period.