Dear Reader,

 

Today's overview of economic news and market action

  • Strong risk-off mood in Europe last week as markets continued to digest election fallout …
  • In the US, a below consensus CPI inflation report for May and a hawkish Fed FOMC meeting impacted sentiment …
  • Currency-wise, the euro was under pressure while the dollar benefited …
  • EUR/USD tested below $1.07 …
  • GBP/USD broke below $1.27 …
  • EUR/GBP registered a fresh YTD low of 84.2p …
  • This week, a BoE policy meeting and CPI data will be in focus …
  • A busy data calendar elsewhere includes the flash PMIs for June …
 
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Today's Opening FX Rates
 
      % Change Day* End 2023
EUR/USD 1.0697   -0.34 -3.07
EUR/GBP 0.8442   0.25 -2.61
GBP/USD 1.2669   -0.61 -0.47
GBP/EUR 1.1839   -0.25 2.68
*versus Previous Day's European Open
 
 
ECB Watch - May 2024
 

The ECB’s Governing Council meeting for June saw the central bank cut its key interest rates by 25bps. The Deposit rate was lowered to 3.75% (from 4.00%), while the refi rate was reduced to 4.25% (from 4.50%). The June rate changes follow five consecutive policy meetings where the ECB kept rates on hold, having been in a rate hiking cycle between July’22 to September’23.

 
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AIB Ireland Services PMI: May 2024
 

The latest AIB PMI® survey data indicated a faster increase in Irish service sector activity in May, as new business growth strengthened. The 12-month outlook also improved, and this was reflected another robust rise in services employment. There was a notable rebound in the Technology, Media & Telecoms sector, while Financial Services continued to expand sharply.

 
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AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI: May 2024
 

AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI® data signalled a broad stabilisation in operating conditions in May as the headline index from the survey ticked up to a three-month high. Softer and only marginal contractions in output volumes and incoming new work were recorded during the latest survey period.

 
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