Dear Reader,

 

Today's overview of economic news and market action:

 

    • Central bank speakers and inflation data impacted markets yesterday … 
    • “Less hawkish” central bank rhetoric, and encouraging inflation data led to a softening in rates …
    • Market expectations of an ECB rate hike in September declined ….
    • Futures are pricing in a lower peak in UK rate also. US rates were more static …
    • Against this backdrop, the dollar recouped some of its recent losses …
    • Sees EUR/USD open this morning in the lower half of $1.08-1.09 …
    • Today, the US labour market report is due …
 
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Today's Opening FX Rates
 
    % Change
      Day* End 2022
EUR/USD 1.0835   -0.75 1.24
EUR/GBP 0.8565   -0.19 -3.15
GBP/USD 1.2647   -0.60 4.55
GBP/EUR 1.167   0.19 3.26
*versus Previous Day's European Open
 
Irish Economy Watch - August 2023
 
 

PMI declined to 47.0 in July, as business conditions softened for a fifth consecutive month. New orders, and output fell. Meantime, there was a further easing in price inflation

 
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Forex and Interest Rate Outlook - August
 

Economic data, especially on labour markets, have generally surprised to the upside to date in 2023. Global economy, though, still facing considerable headwinds, with risks to the downside.

 
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Weekly Market Brief: 28 August - 1 September
 

Still Flashing Amber

 

Surging inflation combined with a marked tightening of monetary policy, amid an environment of weakening confidence levels and heightened geo-political tensions, especially in relation to Ukraine, saw the world economy slow sharply during 2022

 
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Weekly Market View
 

Downside Risks Still Prevail for Global Economy

 

Surging inflation combined with a marked tightening of monetary policy, amid an environment of weakening confidence levels and heightened geo-political tensions, especially in relation to Ukraine, saw the world economy slow sharply during 2022. However, concerns that advanced economies could be facing a recession in 2023 have largely abated.

 
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