Dear Reader,

 

Today's overview of economic news and market action:

  • Positive tone to investor sentiment yesterday …
  • UK futures softened by circa 15bps …
  • Currency-wise, the main FX pairs remained range bound …
  • EUR/GBP is in the top half of 85-86p …
  • EUR/USD is in the upper half of $1.08-1.09 …
  • GBP/USD is in the $1.26-1.27 corridor …
  • Relatively quiet data schedule to round out the week  …
 
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Today's Opening FX Rates
 
    % Change
      Day* End 2022
EUR/USD 1.0879   -0.13 -1.42
EUR/GBP 0.8575   -0.12 -1.07
GBP/USD 1.2682   -0.04 -0.37
GBP/EUR 1.1655   0.12 1.08
*versus Previous Day's European Open
 
Weekly Market View - 16 January
 

Markets May Be Overly Optimistic on Rate Cuts

 

Further significant declines in headline and core inflation rates look to be in store this spring virtually everywhere, as large price increases a year earlier drop out of the annual comparison. 

 
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Forex and Interest Rate Outlook - January
 

World economy grew at a very modest pace in 2023. Subdued growth expected again in 2024, with continuing weak performance by most advanced economies in particular. Inflation fell sharply last year and further moderation in price pressures anticipated in 2024.

 
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AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMIĀ® - December 2023
 

Renewed downturn in manufacturing order books, but business optimism improves slightly

 

The AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI® pointed to worsening business conditions as 2023 drew to a close, representing a setback after the stabilisation seen during November.

 
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AIB Ireland Services PMIĀ® - December 2023
 

 

Service sector expansion sustained in December as business outlook for 2024 improves

 

The December AIB PMI® survey data signalled a further rise in service sector activity, extending the current growth sequence that began March 2021.

 
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