Dear Reader,

 

Today's overview of economic news and market action

  • Following a volatile start to the week last Monday, trading conditions settled down thereafter …
  • Trading conditions improved amid dovish remarks from the BoJ and a quiet macro-calendar …
  • Meantime, US market rate expectations firmed modestly …
  • Against this backdrop, the dollar strengthened and the yen weakened last week …
  • This sees USD/JPY open today above ¥147 …
  • EUR/USD is in the lower half of $1.09-1.10 …
  • EUR/GBP is at the midpoint of 85-86p …
  • This week, there are very busy data schedules in the UK and US …
 
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Today's Opening FX Rates
 
      % Change Day* End 2023
EUR/USD 1.0921   0.03 -1.04
EUR/GBP 0.8546   -0.21 -1.41
GBP/USD 1.2774   0.20 0.35
GBP/EUR 1.1698   0.21 1.43
*versus Previous Day's European Open

All rates quoted are indicative market rates.

 
 
ECB Watch - July 2024
 

The ECB meeting for July saw the Governing Council keep its key interest rates unchanged. This means that the Deposit rate remains at 3.75% while the refi rate stays at 4.25%. The ‘hold’ on rates in July follows the 25bps rate cut implemented in June to the main interest rates. This represented its first rate change in six meetings after previously being on a rate hiking cycle.

 
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AIB Ireland Services PMI - July
 

AIB PMI® survey data indicated the slowest rise in total activity in the Irish service sector for three months in July, but growth of new business accelerated and the year-ahead outlook improved. Outstanding business increased at the strongest rate in ten months and employment growth picked up from June's recent low. 

 
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AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI - July
 

AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI® indicated a broad stabilisation in operating conditions across the Irish manufacturing sector at the start of the third quarter, thereby ending a four-month period of deterioration. Underlying data hinted at early signs of recovery in demand conditions. Meanwhile, output was raised for the first time since February.

 
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