Dear Reader,

Today's overview of economic news and market action

• Data-wise, the main release of note yesterday was US CPI inflation for July …
• The headline rate fell to 2.9% (vs. 3% f’cast), printing below 3% for the first time since March 2021 …
• Amid the softening in US inflation, the dollar was under some downward pressure ….
• This sees EUR/USD open this morning just above the $1.10 threshold …
• EUR/GBP is changing hands in the top half of the 85-86p corridor …
• GBP/USD is operating near the midpoint of the $1.28-1.29 range …
• Today, US retail sales, industrial production (July) & the latest weekly jobless claims data are due …

All rates quoted are indicative market rates.

The ECB meeting for July saw the Governing Council keep its key interest rates unchanged. This means that the Deposit rate remains at 3.75% while the refi rate stays at 4.25%. The ‘hold’ on rates in July follows the 25bps rate cut implemented in June to the main interest rates. This represented its first rate change in six meetings after previously being on a rate hiking cycle.

AIB PMI® survey data indicated the slowest rise in total activity in the Irish service sector for three months in July, but growth of new business accelerated and the year-ahead outlook improved. Outstanding business increased at the strongest rate in ten months and employment growth picked up from June's recent low. 

AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI® indicated a broad stabilisation in operating conditions across the Irish manufacturing sector at the start of the third quarter, thereby ending a four-month period of deterioration. Underlying data hinted at early signs of recovery in demand conditions. Meanwhile, output was raised for the first time since February.