Dear Reader,

 

Today's overview of economic news and market action

  • Trading conditions were light yesterday, amid a market holiday in the US …
  • Against this backdrop, the main FX pairs continued to operate in very tight ranges …
  • EUR/USD opens below the midpoint of the $1.07-1.08 corridor …
  • GBP/USD is operating at the $1.27 threshold …
  • EUR/GBP continues to change hands at the halfway mark of 84-85p …
  • Today, the main highlight will be the BoE monetary policy decision …
  • No changes to policy expected. Focus on vote breakdown and meeting minutes …
  • Data-wise, Eurozone consumer confidence (June) and US weekly initial jobless claims are due …
 
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Today's Opening FX Rates
 
      % Change Day* End 2023
EUR/USD 1.0733   -0.01 -2.75
EUR/GBP 0.8448   0.01 -2.54
GBP/USD 1.2702   -0.02 -0.21
GBP/EUR 1.1832   -0.01 2.60
*versus Previous Day's European Open
 
New Episode of AIB Market Talk Podcast
 

 

AIB’s Senior Economist John Fahey and AIB Treasury’s Stuart Banks review market expectations on potential interest rate cuts coming out of recent and upcoming ECB, Bank of England and Federal Reserve central bank meetings. 

 
Listen Here
 
 
 
ECB Watch - May 2024
 

The ECB’s Governing Council meeting for June saw the central bank cut its key interest rates by 25bps. The Deposit rate was lowered to 3.75% (from 4.00%), while the refi rate was reduced to 4.25% (from 4.50%). The June rate changes follow five consecutive policy meetings where the ECB kept rates on hold, having been in a rate hiking cycle between July’22 to September’23.

 
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AIB Ireland Services PMI: May 2024
 

The latest AIB PMI® survey data indicated a faster increase in Irish service sector activity in May, as new business growth strengthened. The 12-month outlook also improved, and this was reflected another robust rise in services employment. There was a notable rebound in the Technology, Media & Telecoms sector, while Financial Services continued to expand sharply.

 
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AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI: May 2024
 

AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI® data signalled a broad stabilisation in operating conditions in May as the headline index from the survey ticked up to a three-month high. Softer and only marginal contractions in output volumes and incoming new work were recorded during the latest survey period.

 
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