Lucky number seven?
 
 
  • In recent months, incoming macro data suggest the global economy continues to grow at a solid pace, despite heightened uncertainty related to US trade and economic policy.
  • A key driver of this resilience has been the surge in AI‑related investment.
  • In Europe, activity remains subdued outside of the spike in exports to the US in 2025 ahead of tariffs.
  • Forward‑looking indicators point to continued muted growth in early 2026, with the current flare up in political uncertainty around the future of the Prime Minister a further risk to confidence.

 
 
 
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